Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 1.156517 1.411585 1.740736 2.210944 2.891672 3.889250e+00 5.569589
2025-06-08 0.799302 1.062546 1.452314 2.116218 3.334834 5.811736e+00 12.741275
2025-06-15 0.654127 0.921740 1.358769 2.212829 4.147164 9.725533e+00 43.669910
2025-06-22 0.552113 0.808373 1.255629 2.221429 4.813411 1.533772e+01 264.183998
2025-06-29 0.474074 0.712364 1.147850 2.159075 5.263181 2.272269e+01 556898.399703
2025-07-06 0.418760 0.642804 1.068308 2.120662 5.782345 3.554903e+01 NaN
2025-07-13 0.394385 0.622842 1.079988 2.316344 7.539794 9.990950e+01 NaN
2025-07-20 0.367939 0.593688 1.063945 2.430797 9.297641 3.957163e+02 NaN
2025-07-27 0.338788 0.554408 1.015744 2.424891 10.485069 2.835365e+03 NaN
2025-08-03 0.309874 0.511553 0.950366 2.334117 10.981625 2.740799e+06 NaN
2025-08-10 0.292208 0.489029 0.928737 2.388383 13.012885 NaN NaN
2025-08-17 0.279617 0.475168 0.925312 2.512032 16.565205 NaN NaN
2025-08-24 0.262956 0.451215 0.892971 2.513017 19.053015 NaN NaN
2025-08-31 0.244519 0.421618 0.841213 2.411441 19.728948 NaN NaN
2025-09-07 0.235458 0.411304 0.838930 2.531107 26.058542 NaN NaN
2025-09-14 0.223960 0.394354 0.815462 2.542074 30.830650 NaN NaN
2025-09-21 0.211237 0.373471 0.777756 2.466387 32.794630 NaN NaN
2025-09-28 0.200525 0.356204 0.747897 2.419817 36.063449 NaN NaN
2025-10-05 0.197650 0.356413 0.768425 2.657935 61.392491 NaN NaN
2025-10-12 0.192425 0.350637 0.770269 2.798093 96.380885 NaN NaN
2025-10-19 0.184652 0.338176 0.749714 2.790845 121.549706 NaN NaN
2025-10-26 0.175576 0.321961 0.715402 2.679657 124.427972 NaN NaN
2025-11-02 0.170377 0.314613 0.708032 2.746078 191.054528 NaN NaN